MANGO(SZ:300413) Huachuang Securities·2025-08-28 08:17Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Mango Excellent Media (300413) [1] Core Views - The company is currently under pressure, with a focus on the pace of content release and the implementation of the new broadcasting regulations [1] - Short-term performance is impacted by increased content investment and weak macroeconomic conditions, but there is optimism for medium to long-term growth driven by quality content strategies [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 14,080 million, with a decline to 12,616 million in 2025, followed by a recovery to 13,363 million in 2026 and 14,317 million in 2027 [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1,364 million in 2024, increasing to 1,431 million in 2025, 1,764 million in 2026, and 2,128 million in 2027 [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.73 yuan in 2024, rising to 0.76 yuan in 2025, 0.94 yuan in 2026, and 1.14 yuan in 2027 [2] - The target price is set at 30.6 yuan per share, with the current price at 25.60 yuan [2] Revenue and Profit Trends - The company reported a revenue of 5,964 million for the first half of 2025, a year-over-year decline of 14.3%, with a net profit of 763 million, down 28% year-over-year [7] - In Q2 2025, revenue was 3,063 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 15.7% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 5.6% [7] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 27%, down 2.37 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to increased content costs [7] Strategic Insights - The company is focusing on enhancing its content offerings, with a significant investment in high-quality productions expected to drive long-term growth [7] - The new broadcasting regulations are anticipated to benefit content innovation and demand stimulation in the medium to long term [7] - The company is also exploring new growth areas such as international expansion, AI, and intellectual property [7]