SHCI(SH:601225) Guohai Securities·2025-08-28 08:35Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10] Core Views - The company's coal production and sales have shown steady growth, with a production volume of 87.4 million tons in the first half of 2025, up 1.15% year-on-year, and sales volume of 125.99 million tons, up 0.92% year-on-year [6][9] - The average selling price of coal decreased by 23.81% year-on-year to 439.67 CNY/ton, leading to a narrowing of profit margins [6][9] - The company reported a net profit of 7.64 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, down 31.18% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share of 0.79 CNY, also down 31% [4][9] Recent Performance - In the second quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 37.82 billion CNY, a decrease of 20.46% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.83 billion CNY, down 54.55% year-on-year [5][9] - The company's total power generation decreased by 11.82% year-on-year to 177.69 billion kWh, with total sales of 166.19 billion kWh, also down 11.38% year-on-year [6][9] Financial Forecast - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 157.22 billion CNY, 167.17 billion CNY, and 177.97 billion CNY respectively, with net profits expected to be 16.83 billion CNY, 18.31 billion CNY, and 20.25 billion CNY [8][9] - The estimated earnings per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.74 CNY, 1.89 CNY, and 2.09 CNY respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12.32, 11.33, and 10.24 [8][9] Dividend Policy - The company has implemented a mid-year dividend for 2025, distributing 0.039 CNY per share, corresponding to a dividend yield of 0.18% [6][9]