ZJJH(SH:600160) Guoxin Securities·2025-08-28 09:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][38]. Core Viewpoints - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 is projected to be 2.051 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 146.97% [10]. - The significant growth in performance is primarily driven by the strong performance of the refrigerant business, with the average price of refrigerant products increasing by 61.88% year-on-year to 39,400 yuan per ton [10][11]. - The company benefits from a global leading production quota advantage in the context of the third-generation refrigerant quota system, which has transformed the industry supply structure from excess competition to supply constraints [10][24]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 13.331 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, and a net profit of 2.051 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 146.97% [10]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 7.531 billion yuan, up 13.93% year-on-year and 29.84% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 1.242 billion yuan, up 137.07% year-on-year and 53.56% quarter-on-quarter [10]. Industry Overview - Refrigerants are essential consumer products, increasingly distinguished from traditional chemical raw materials, and are characterized by low cost share in downstream applications, convenient delivery, and high value [2][23]. - The supply side of the refrigerant industry is undergoing optimization, with increasing industry concentration and a shift towards a global "franchise" production and sales model [2][23]. - China holds over 80% of the global quota for third-generation refrigerants, benefiting from structural reforms in supply and high concentration of quotas among leading enterprises [2][23]. Business Segments - The non-refrigerant business faces intense competition, with fluoropolymer prices showing a slight recovery [3][32]. - The company sold 22,900 tons of fluoropolymers in the first half of 2025, with a second-quarter average selling price of 38,446 yuan per ton, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase [3][32]. Growth Opportunities - The demand for liquid cooling solutions is rapidly increasing due to the rise in server power density driven by AI technology, positioning the company favorably in the liquid cooling market [4][37]. - The company has proactively developed fluorinated liquid products and has initiated a project to produce perfluoropolyether cooling liquids, with the first phase already in production [4][37].