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中国巨石(600176):新需求增量推动盈利底部持续改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for China Jushi [2][6] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in revenue and profit, driven by improved product sales and prices, particularly in the fiberglass sector [3][4] - The demand from downstream applications, especially in wind power and new energy vehicles, has contributed to the growth, supported by government policies favoring the renewable energy industry [4][6] - The company's profitability and operational capabilities have improved, with a gross margin recovery to 32.21% and a net profit margin of 19.30% in the first half of 2025 [5][6] - China Jushi's international production bases in Egypt and the USA enhance its risk resilience against tariffs and anti-dumping measures, while ongoing upgrades and new production lines improve efficiency and product structure [6] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 9.109 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.70%, and a net profit of 1.687 billion yuan, up 75.51% [3] - The sales volume of fiberglass yarn and products reached 1.5822 million tons, a growth of 3.95%, while electronic cloth sales increased by 5.90% [4] - The average price of fiberglass products rose by 8.49% year-on-year, indicating a positive pricing environment [4] - The company forecasts net profits of 3.411 billion, 4.023 billion, and 4.670 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.85, 1.00, and 1.17 yuan [6][12]