XUSHENG(SH:603305) Minsheng Securities·2025-08-28 11:52Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.096 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.47%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 201 million yuan, down 24.22% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.05 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.89% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.29%, outperforming its major client Tesla's sales decline [2]. - The company's gross margin improved to 22.75% in Q2 2025, up 1.10 percentage points year-on-year and 1.95 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating a recovery in profitability [2]. - The company has commenced operations at its Mexico plant and is building a facility in Thailand, which will enhance its international growth and customer base [3]. - New business ventures in energy storage and robotics are expected to drive future growth, with significant revenue contributions anticipated from these sectors [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 5.472 billion yuan, 6.721 billion yuan, and 8.213 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 495 million yuan, 614 million yuan, and 772 million yuan [5][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to grow from 0.52 yuan in 2025 to 0.81 yuan in 2027, reflecting a positive trend in profitability [5][11]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 28 in 2025 to 18 in 2027, indicating an attractive valuation over time [5][11].