科创板人工智能ETF配置价值

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the selection of converging constituent stocks for ETF allocation based on data as of July 31, 2025, with a focus on tracking the effectiveness of the allocation strategy [2][9]. - The best converging stock for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board Artificial Intelligence ETF (588930.SH) is identified as Hongsoft Technology (688088), which has a bottom valuation of 14 times PS based on its 2023 revenue [2][9]. - The report indicates that Hongsoft Technology's stock price has mostly fluctuated below the expected fundamental value for 2027, which is calculated as the consensus expected revenue for 2027 multiplied by 14 times PS [2][9]. Group 2 - The report provides a robust profit forecast for Hongsoft Technology in 2025, with the closing price on August 27 being close to the expected fundamental value per share for 2027 [2][9]. - The average closing position from July 31 to August 27 was 23.78%, with a closing position of 10.7% on August 27 [2][9]. - From August 1 to August 27, 2025, the dynamic allocation strategy based on Hongsoft Technology yielded a Sharpe ratio slightly better than a buy-and-hold strategy, achieving a terminal return of 6.44% with a maximum drawdown of 0.71% [3][10].