Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has exceeded expectations in Q2 performance, benefiting from overseas expansion and growth in domestic self-owned brands [2][3] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the pet supplies and food industry, with strong overseas customer resources and global production capacity advantages [7] - The company aims for a revenue CAGR of 24% over the next three years, primarily driven by capacity expansion and the growth of its self-owned brands [7] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company's revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses were 792 million, 74 million, and 73 million yuan respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 45.52%, 0.37%, and 3.50% [2] - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses were 457 million, 49 million, and 48 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth of 53.11%, 30.63%, and 29.85% [2] - The company's gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 21.51%, a decrease of 0.94 percentage points year-on-year [4] Product and Regional Performance - In H1 2025, the revenue breakdown by product was as follows: pet leashes 196 million, pet snacks 412 million, pet toys 45 million, pet staple food 77 million, and other businesses 61 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.91%, 64.63%, 47.93%, 55.39%, and 103.04% respectively [3] - The company's revenue from overseas and domestic markets in H1 2025 was 620 million and 172 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 31.44% and 136.77% respectively, with overseas business doubling due to the company's global expansion efforts [3] Cash Flow and Inventory Management - The company's operating cash flow was negative 31 million yuan in H1 2025, primarily due to increases in inventory and accounts receivable [2] - The company's inventory as of H1 2025 was 370 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 52.99%, with inventory turnover days increasing to 96 days [5] Future Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.633 billion, 2.107 billion, and 2.540 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits of 187 million, 225 million, and 259 million yuan [9] - The estimated EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.98, 1.18, and 1.36 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22, 19, and 16 [7][9]
源飞宠物（001222）：Q2业绩超预期，受益海外布局+国内自主品牌