Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3][18] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 met market expectations, with revenue of 3.113 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.18 billion RMB, up 20.2% [8] - The company is expected to accelerate growth in H2 2025, with a focus on new product launches and expanding direct sales channels [2][8] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 3,524 million RMB - 2024: 5,539 million RMB - 2025E: 7,066 million RMB - 2026E: 8,842 million RMB - 2027E: 10,691 million RMB - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 49% for 2023, 57% for 2024, and gradually decreasing to 21% by 2027 [4][9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 1,452 million RMB in 2023 to 3,726 million RMB in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 45% in 2023 and 19% in 2027 [4][9] - The company's gross margin is expected to remain high, around 82-84% over the forecast period [4] Product and Market Insights - The company's flagship product, 可复美, generated revenue of 2.54 billion RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.7% and accounting for 81.7% of total revenue [8] - New product launches, including the upgraded 胶原棒 2.0 and the 焦点面霜, have been well received in the market, contributing to revenue growth [8] - Direct sales revenue reached 2.33 billion RMB in H1 2025, up 26.5%, with significant growth in both online and offline channels [8] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.54 billion RMB, 3.12 billion RMB, and 3.73 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 20, 16, and 14 [8][9] - The company is well-positioned in the collagen protein market, with ongoing expansion into medical aesthetics and B2B segments anticipated to drive future growth [8]
巨子生物（02367）：业绩符合市场预期，预计25H2增长提速