Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][3]. Core Insights - The company experienced a slight pressure on its Q2 performance, with revenues and profits declining by 3.12% and 42.05% year-on-year, respectively, due to a weak downstream restaurant sector and intensified competition [1][6]. - The company is actively expanding its new retail and e-commerce channels, with expectations for improvement in the second half of the year, particularly in the baking and dish product segments [1][6]. - Adjustments have been made to the net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, now projected at 0.77 billion, 0.92 billion, and 1.09 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.80, 0.95, and 1.12 yuan [1][6]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 1,901 million yuan, with a slight decrease to 1,868 million yuan in 2024, followed by a recovery to 1,923 million yuan in 2025 [2][14]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 2.8 billion yuan, with a current share price of 29.2 yuan [3][6]. - The return on equity (ROE) stands at 3.2%, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 19.0% [3][6]. Quarterly Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenues of 415 million yuan, a decrease of 3.12% year-on-year, and a net profit of 14 million yuan, down 42.05% year-on-year [1][8]. - The gross profit margin for Q2 was 22.66%, reflecting a decline of 2.29 percentage points compared to the previous year, attributed to increased competition and fluctuations in raw material prices [1][6]. Product and Channel Analysis - The company’s revenue from direct sales and distribution channels for the first half of 2025 was 4.34 billion and 4.45 billion yuan, respectively, with direct sales showing a year-on-year increase of 5.31% [1][6]. - The revenue breakdown for H1 2025 indicates that staple foods, snacks, baked goods, and frozen dishes generated 4.13 billion, 1.97 billion, 2.05 billion, and 0.65 billion yuan, respectively, with notable growth in baked goods and frozen dishes [1][6].
千味央厨（001215）：Q2经营略承压，期待餐饮及新零售渠道改善