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宁波银行(002142):2025年中报点评:基本面呈现改善的迹象

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 35.11 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 28.29 CNY as of August 28, 2025 [4]. Core Views - The company's performance shows signs of improvement, with revenue growth of 7.91% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 8.23% [1]. - The growth in the second quarter was primarily driven by asset expansion, reduced cost expenditures, and tax incentives, although increased provisioning and a narrowing net interest margin negatively impacted net profit growth [1][15]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth rate of 6.50% and a net profit growth rate of 5.48% for 2025 [15]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 70.96 billion CNY, with a revenue growth rate of 6.50% [16]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 28.61 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 5.48% [16]. - The bank's non-interest income grew by 9.4% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in wealth management and investment income [11]. - The cost-to-income ratio improved to 31.64%, down 2.41 percentage points year-on-year, due to effective cost management [11]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The non-performing loan generation rate decreased to 0.94% annualized, down 27 basis points year-on-year, indicating improved asset quality [12]. - The bank's provisioning coverage ratio increased slightly to 374%, reflecting a stable credit risk environment [14]. - The overdue rate was reported at 0.89%, showing a slight improvement in credit quality [14]. Loan and Deposit Trends - New loans in the second quarter amounted to 316 billion CNY, with a notable decrease in personal loans due to weak consumer demand [2][3]. - The bank's deposit balance decreased by 1,062 billion CNY in the second quarter, indicating signs of disintermediation [3][10]. - The bank's total loans are projected to reach approximately 1.25 trillion CNY by 2025, with a focus on broad infrastructure sectors [16][44].