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华润电力(00836):一次性损益拖累25H1盈利,核心业务表现依然稳健

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a projected stock price increase of 5% to 15% relative to the industry index over the next six months [5]. Core Views - The company's core business remains resilient despite a decline in net profit due to one-time non-cash losses and coal business impacts. The core profit showed a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, reflecting the robustness of the main operations [2][11]. - The company has a solid project reserve and orderly power generation construction, with a total installed capacity of 78,094 MW as of June 2025, split between thermal power (50.1%) and renewable energy (49.9%) [3]. - The company plans to invest HKD 56.8 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, focusing on renewable energy and thermal power projects, which will support future earnings growth [3][11]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of HKD 50.267 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.67%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 7.872 billion, down 15.92% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the first half of 2025 was HKD 1.52, a decrease of 22.05% year-on-year, with a return on equity (ROE) of 7.46%, down 2.89 percentage points year-on-year [1][2]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is HKD 107.056 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 1.68%, and a net profit of HKD 14.288 billion, reflecting a decline of 2.91% year-on-year [12]. Business Segments - The thermal power segment experienced a core profit of HKD 26.41 billion in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 2.7% year-on-year, but excluding coal impacts, the core profit from pure thermal power increased by 20.6% [2][10]. - The renewable energy segment saw significant growth, with wind and solar sales volumes increasing by 15.5% and 31.3% respectively in the first half of 2025, contributing to a core profit of HKD 5.637 billion, up 1.5% year-on-year [10][11].