Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, attributed to fluctuations in overseas demand due to international geopolitical conflicts [3][4] - Despite challenges in overseas markets, domestic business showed stable growth, particularly in the transmission system segment, with a significant increase in revenue from Michelin products [4] - The company is expanding its production capacity and hiring management personnel to support long-term growth, which may lead to short-term cost pressures [5] Financial Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 432 million yuan, down 1.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 60 million yuan, down 26.3% year-on-year [3] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are revised to 170 million, 210 million, and 261 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22.2, 18.0, and 14.4 times [3][6] - The company’s domestic transmission system revenue for the first half of 2025 was 170 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.4% [4] - Michelin product revenue reached 54.54 million yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 218% [4] - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 802 million yuan in 2023 to 1.634 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 22.9% [6][8]
丰茂股份（301459）：海外需求波动，扩产招人蓄力长远发展