皖维高新（600063）：新材料放量加快，新基地逐浪全球市场

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [7]. Core Insights - The company emphasizes its scale, production cost advantages, and full industry chain in the PVA sector, alongside the introduction of its new Jiangsu base project [1][7]. - The company is expected to see a surge in production for PVA optical films and automotive-grade PVB films, leading to a growth phase in its performance [1][7]. Summary by Sections Production Capacity and Cost Advantages - The company holds the largest PVA production capacity in China, with a total of 310,000 tons/year across three bases, accounting for approximately 28% of the national capacity of 1.1 million tons. It employs multiple production processes to meet diverse downstream demands [2]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a 25% year-on-year increase in PVA sales to 125,000 tons, with revenue also rising by 25% to 1.33 billion yuan. The average selling price remained stable at 10,600 yuan/ton, and the gross margin improved by 4.8 percentage points to 25.2% [2]. New Projects and Product Launches - The company is expanding into downstream new materials, establishing an integrated supply chain from PVA to PVA optical films and PVB films. It currently has a capacity of 12 million square meters/year for PVA optical films and 22,000 tons/year for PVB films [3]. - In the first half of 2025, PVA optical film sales surged by 121% year-on-year to 4.3 million square meters, generating revenue of 49 million yuan, with a gross margin increase of 19 percentage points to 48%. The automotive-grade PVB film segment is transitioning from construction-grade to automotive-grade, with sales and revenue increasing by 60% and 77% respectively [3]. Expansion Plans - The company plans to invest 36.6 billion yuan to establish a new subsidiary in Jiangsu, with a production capacity of 400,000 tons/year for ethylene-based PVA and related products. The project is expected to take 24 months to complete [4]. - The expansion aims to increase export share, with PVA exports rising by 9.9% year-on-year to 116,000 tons in the first half of 2025, and the company capturing over 25% of the export market. The new Jiangsu base will also provide logistical advantages over the main base in Anhui [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains previous profit forecasts, estimating net profits for 2025-2027 at 610 million, 770 million, and 890 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.29, 0.36, and 0.42 yuan. The target price is set at 6.09 yuan, based on a 21x PE ratio for 2025 [5].