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源飞宠物(001222):Q2业绩表现超预期,境内外均有亮眼表现

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported strong performance in Q2, with revenue and profit growth driven by both OEM/ODM and brand businesses, benefiting from overseas production capacity advantages [9] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 11%-15% based on the strong Q2 performance, with projected net profits of 186 million, 220 million, and 260 million respectively for those years [10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 790 million, a year-on-year increase of 45.5%, and a net profit of 74.16 million, up 0.4% [5] - Q2 2025 saw revenue growth of 53.1% and net profit growth of 30.6% [5] - The revenue breakdown by product shows significant growth in pet snacks (+64.6%), pet traction tools (+6.9%), pet staple food (+55.4%), and pet toys (+47.9%) [6] Regional Performance - The company's revenue from overseas markets accounted for 78.3% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 31.4%, while domestic revenue grew by 136.8% [6] Capacity and Production - Overseas production capacity in Cambodia contributed 61% to overseas revenue, with significant growth in revenue and net profit from both Cambodian facilities [6] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin decreased by 0.9 percentage points to 21.5% in H1 2025, with variations across product lines and regions [7] - The company experienced an increase in expense ratios, with total expenses rising by 3.2 percentage points to 8.3% [7] Cash Flow and Inventory - As of June 2025, inventory increased by 26.5% from the beginning of the year, with a turnover period of 96 days [8] - The company reported a negative operating cash flow of 30.95 million in H1 2025, with a year-on-year increase in net outflow of 159.1% [8] Future Projections - The company has set ambitious revenue targets for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of 1.67 billion, 2.12 billion, and 2.61 billion respectively, reflecting growth rates of 27.56%, 26.95%, and 23.06% [11] - The projected EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.97, 1.15, and 1.36 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 25, 21, and 18 [10][11]