STO(SZ:002468) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-29 07:42Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shentong Express [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 25.025 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.02%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 453 million yuan, up 3.73% year-on-year [5] - The second quarter faced pressure from price wars, but the company managed to balance volume and profit, with a focus on maintaining stable growth in business volume [5] - The company is expected to benefit from price increases in core regions starting in August, which could enhance single-ticket revenue and profit margins [5] - Continuous improvement in core competitiveness and network expansion is noted, with significant investments in automation and capacity upgrades [5] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 remains unchanged, with expected net profits of 1.383 billion, 1.685 billion, and 2.003 billion yuan respectively, indicating growth rates of 33.0%, 21.8%, and 18.9% [5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025E is 57.483 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 21.9% [4] - The expected net profit for 2025E is 1.383 billion yuan, with a corresponding PE ratio of 20 [4] - The company aims for a gross margin of 5.6% in 2025E, with an ROE of 12.6% [4]