HAI TIAN(SH:603288) HTSC·2025-08-29 08:17Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of RMB 48.40 [1][8]. Core Views - The company has shown steady performance with revenue and net profit growth, benefiting from cost reductions and market share gains despite increased competition [5][7]. - The company aims for a net profit growth rate of no less than 10.8% in 2025, supported by a new employee stock ownership plan [5][6]. - The company is experiencing strong growth in new product categories and is optimizing its distribution channels [6][8]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 152.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.6%, and a net profit of RMB 39.1 billion, up 13.3% [5]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 40.1%, reflecting a 3.3 percentage point increase year-on-year, driven by cost reductions in raw materials [7]. - The company’s revenue forecast for 2025 is RMB 28.65 billion, with a projected net profit of RMB 7.08 billion, representing growth rates of 6.5% and 11.66% respectively [4][8]. Product and Channel Performance - In the first half of 2025, revenue from soy sauce, seasoning sauce, oyster sauce, and other products was RMB 79.3 billion, RMB 16.3 billion, RMB 25.0 billion, and RMB 25.1 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.1%, 12.0%, 7.7%, and 16.7% [6]. - Online sales grew significantly by 39.0% year-on-year, while offline sales increased by 9.1% [6]. Cost and Profitability - The company has managed to maintain a stable profit growth despite rising expenses, with a net profit margin of 25.7% in the first half of 2025, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - The company’s operating expenses have increased due to heightened market competition, but the overall profitability remains robust [7][8]. Valuation Metrics - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 40x for 2025, with a target price adjustment from RMB 51.20 to RMB 48.40 [8]. - The projected EPS for 2025 is RMB 1.21, with a steady decline in PE ratio expected over the next few years [4][8].