Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 18.93 CNY per share, corresponding to a PE ratio of 18 for 2025 [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant improvement in non-recurring profit, with a non-recurring net profit of 25.8 billion CNY in Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 334.6% [3][4]. - Total revenue for H1 2025 reached 299.59 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.02 billion CNY, down 9.2% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the launch of several new models, including the 尚界 H5, which is anticipated to enhance sales and brand performance [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 158.73 billion CNY, up 12.1% year-on-year and 12.7% quarter-on-quarter, with sales volume reaching 1.108 million units, an increase of 11.6% year-on-year and 17.2% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. - The average selling price (ASP) for vehicles in Q2 2025 was 97,000 CNY, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.4% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.9% due to overall terminal discount reductions [2][3]. Profitability - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 9.7%, down 0.8 percentage points year-on-year and 0.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to intensified price competition [3]. - The company’s investment income for Q2 2025 was 1.83 billion CNY, with a notable decrease in income from joint ventures [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see revenue growth of 687.76 billion CNY in 2025, with net profit projected at 12.27 billion CNY, reflecting a significant recovery from previous years [6][10]. - The partnership with Huawei for the 尚界 H5 model is anticipated to enhance the company's technological capabilities and sales performance [4][10].
上汽集团(600104):系列点评十三:扣非利润改善明显,尚界H5催化可期