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特宝生物(688278):业绩高速增长,管线持续丰富

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][3]. Core Views - The company is experiencing rapid growth, with a focus on enhancing the clinical cure rate for hepatitis B through its core product, "Peginterferon" [9]. - The company has a robust pipeline with ongoing clinical trials and new product approvals, including a long-acting growth hormone [9]. - Financial forecasts indicate significant revenue and profit growth, with projected earnings per share of 2.72, 3.66, and 4.58 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][5]. Financial Summary - Revenue is expected to grow from 2,100 million yuan in 2023 to 6,232 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 27.7% [5]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to increase from 555 million yuan in 2023 to 1,862 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of about 25.1% [5]. - The company's gross margin is expected to remain stable around 93%, while the net margin is projected to improve from 26.4% in 2023 to 29.9% in 2027 [5]. Valuation Metrics - The target price for the company is set at 103.36 yuan, based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 38 times for 2025 [3][6]. - The company's current market capitalization is approximately 33,655 million yuan [6].