SHANGHAI ENERGY(SH:600508) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-08-29 09:24Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to falling coal prices, but the mid-term dividend increase enhances market confidence [2] - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year revenue drop of 27.9% and a net profit decrease of 56.5% [2][3] - The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected figures of 5.07 billion, 6.06 billion, and 6.70 billion respectively [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 3.5 billion, a decrease of 27.9% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 210 million, down 56.5% year-on-year [2][3] - The average selling price of commodity coal in the first half of 2025 was 752.1 yuan/ton, a decrease of 32.9% year-on-year [3] - The company’s coal production for the first half of 2025 was 3.84 million tons, a decline of 10.8% year-on-year [3] Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The company announced a mid-term dividend distribution of 65.045 million, representing a cash dividend ratio of 31.7%, which signals a commitment to shareholder returns despite lower profits [4] - The dividend yield based on the stock price at the time of announcement was approximately 0.7% [4] Strategic Developments - The company is actively pursuing a coal-electricity integration strategy and expanding its renewable energy footprint, with a significant increase in photovoltaic power generation capacity [4] - The company has a coal production capacity of 9.09 million tons and is progressing with the construction of a new coal mine, expected to start trial operations by the end of 2025 [4] Financial Projections - The projected operating revenue for 2025 is 8.325 billion, with a year-on-year decline of 12.3% [6] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 507 million, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 29.1% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.70 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.2 times [6]