Aier(SZ:300015) Guoxin Securities·2025-08-29 09:36Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][24]. Core Views - The company's revenue growth is steadily recovering, with a 9.1% year-on-year increase in revenue to 11.507 billion yuan in H1 2025, while net profit remained relatively stable with a 0.1% increase to 2.051 billion yuan [1][9]. - The growth is driven by increasing awareness of eye health among residents and rising demand for high-end ophthalmic medical services, alongside the company's expanding operational scale and brand influence [1][9]. - The company benefits from new refractive procedures and an improved medical network both domestically and internationally, which is expected to continue driving revenue growth [1][9]. Revenue and Operations Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved an outpatient volume of 9.2483 million visits, a 16.47% increase year-on-year, and a surgical volume of 879,000 cases, up 7.63% [2][13]. - Revenue from refractive projects reached 4.618 billion yuan, growing by 11.1%, while cataract project revenue was 1.781 billion yuan, up 2.6% [2][13]. - The company has established a comprehensive tiered diagnosis and treatment network, with 355 domestic hospitals and 240 outpatient departments as of June 2025 [2][13]. Financial Performance Summary - The company maintained good cost control, with a sales expense ratio of 9.1% (down 1.5 percentage points) and a management expense ratio of 13.6% (unchanged) [3][17]. - The gross profit margin was 48.6% (down 0.9 percentage points), and the net profit margin was 19.3% (down 1.7 percentage points), primarily due to depreciation from newly acquired hospitals and equipment upgrades [3][17]. - Operating cash flow increased by 19.7% year-on-year to 3.402 billion yuan, indicating strong cash reserves for future expansions [20]. Earnings Forecast - The company has slightly adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, now expecting revenues of 23.734 billion yuan, 26.816 billion yuan, and 30.222 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.1%, 13.0%, and 12.7% respectively [4][24]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are adjusted to 4.059 billion yuan, 4.830 billion yuan, and 5.657 billion yuan, with growth rates of 14.1%, 19.0%, and 17.1% respectively [4][24]. Strategic Developments - The company is advancing its "AI + Ophthalmology" strategy, focusing on integrating AI technologies into clinical practices, research, and management to enhance its medical capabilities [23]. - The ongoing development of a comprehensive innovation system through international equipment and technology introduction is expected to further strengthen the company's market position [23].