XfmGroup(SH:603225) Guoxin Securities·2025-08-29 09:43Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][31] Core Views - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased significantly in the second quarter, benefiting from the release of new production capacity and growth in downstream demand [1][9] - The polyester filament industry is experiencing a slowdown in supply growth, while demand from downstream sectors such as apparel and home textiles is steadily increasing [2][14] - The company maintains a strong market position with a domestic market share exceeding 15%, ranking second in the industry [2][14] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 33.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, and a net profit of 710 million yuan, up 17.3% year-on-year [1][9] - The second quarter alone saw revenue of 18.93 billion yuan, representing a 12.6% year-on-year increase and a 30.1% quarter-on-quarter increase, with net profit reaching 400 million yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year and 31.4% quarter-on-quarter [1][9] - The average selling prices for POY, FDY, and DTY in the first half of 2025 were 6194, 6484, and 8094 yuan per ton, respectively, with corresponding gross margins of 7.2%, 6.5%, and 7.6% [2][14] Production and Capacity - The company has a polyester filament production capacity of 8.45 million tons, with significant sales increases in the second quarter, including a 49% quarter-on-quarter increase in POY sales [2][14] - PTA production capacity is 7.7 million tons, with plans to exceed 10 million tons by the end of 2025, ensuring stable raw material supply [3][19] Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 1.355 billion yuan, 1.372 billion yuan, and 1.426 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.89, 0.90, and 0.93 yuan [4][31]