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温氏股份(300498):养猪业务维持较好利润,黄鸡业务亏损

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [6][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 49.875 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.67%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.475 billion yuan, up 161.77% year-on-year. However, the second quarter saw a decline in net profit by 42.53% year-on-year [4][5]. - The pig farming business continues to maintain good profitability, while the chicken business is facing significant losses due to low prices [5][6]. - The company sold 17.9319 million pigs in the first half of the year, a 24.75% increase year-on-year, with a per-head profit of 294 yuan [5]. - Chicken sales reached 598 million birds, a 9.16% increase year-on-year, but the average selling price dropped by 18.69%, leading to a loss of approximately 1.2 billion yuan in the chicken segment [5][6]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to be 104.924 billion yuan in 2024, with a slight decrease to 102.407 billion yuan in 2025, followed by a recovery to 110.485 billion yuan in 2026 and 133.812 billion yuan in 2027 [8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 9.230 billion yuan in 2024, decreasing to 7.437 billion yuan in 2025, before increasing to 11.063 billion yuan in 2026 and 15.633 billion yuan in 2027 [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.39 yuan in 2024, dropping to 1.12 yuan in 2025, and then rising to 1.66 yuan in 2026 and 2.35 yuan in 2027 [8].