THXN(SZ:300390) HTSC·2025-08-29 11:13Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 24.28 RMB [7][5]. Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 was negatively impacted by a decline in lithium prices, resulting in a revenue of 3.458 billion RMB, down 6.88% year-on-year, and a net loss of 156 million RMB, down 118.65% year-on-year [1][2]. - Despite the challenges faced in the first half, the report anticipates a recovery in the company's performance in the third quarter due to a rebound in lithium prices [1][5]. - The company is expanding its upstream and downstream operations, with the Zulu lithium-tantalum mine in Zimbabwe restarting production, which is expected to enhance its lithium supply [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.770 billion RMB, a decrease of 9.63% year-on-year but an increase of 4.89% quarter-on-quarter. The net loss for Q2 was 1.59 billion RMB, a significant decline of 147.75% year-on-year [1][2]. - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 7.21%, down 12.45 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a significant drop in lithium prices [2]. Market Dynamics - Recent disruptions in domestic lithium resource supply have led to an increase in lithium prices, with the price of lithium carbonate rising from 61,300 RMB per ton in early July to over 80,000 RMB per ton by late August [3]. - The report suggests that the ongoing high growth in demand from the electric vehicle and energy storage sectors will likely support lithium prices in the near term [3]. Production Capacity and Future Outlook - The company currently has a production capacity of 165,000 tons of battery-grade lithium salts, with the Zulu mine expected to contribute significantly to its lithium supply [4]. - The report projects the company's net profit for 2025 to be 181 million RMB, with an expected EPS of 0.22 RMB [5][11].