CSCEC(SH:601668) Tianfeng Securities·2025-08-29 11:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][18]. Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in Q2, with a notable improvement in net profit, particularly in the second quarter, where the net profit reached 153.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.94% [1][4]. - The infrastructure business is performing well, with significant growth in new contracts in energy, municipal, and water transportation sectors, indicating a robust pipeline for future revenue [2][4]. - The company is expected to gradually increase its market share as a leading state-owned enterprise in the construction sector, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being 475.1 billion, 487.2 billion, and 500.2 billion yuan respectively [4][5]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1,108.31 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.17% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 304.04 billion yuan, an increase of 3.24% [1][3]. - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 9.43%, with specific margins for construction, infrastructure, real estate development, and design services being 7.3%, 10.2%, 16.0%, and 16.2% respectively [3]. - The company recorded a cash flow from operations (CFO) net outflow of 828.31 billion yuan, which was a reduction of 259.38 billion yuan compared to the previous year, indicating improved cash flow management [3][12]. Business Segment Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenues of 696.38 billion yuan from construction, 273.43 billion yuan from infrastructure, and 49.36 billion yuan from design services, with respective year-on-year changes of -7.1%, +1.5%, and -9.0% [2]. - The real estate development segment saw a revenue increase of 13.3% year-on-year, totaling 131.88 billion yuan, despite a decline in contract sales by 8.9% [2]. - The strategic emerging industries contributed 916 billion yuan to the total revenue, accounting for 8.26% of the overall revenue [2].