TFC(SZ:300394) Western Securities·2025-08-29 12:29Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company's revenue and profit growth significantly exceeded market expectations, with a Q2 revenue increase of 83% year-on-year and a H1 revenue of 2.456 billion yuan, up 58% year-on-year. However, profitability has declined, with a gross margin of 50.79%, down 6.98 percentage points year-on-year [1][4] - The company is increasing its R&D efforts in technologies such as 1.6T, CPO, and silicon photonics to strengthen its core technological competitiveness [2] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.456 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 58%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 899 million yuan, up 37% year-on-year. The gross margin was 50.79%, down 6.98 percentage points year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.511 billion yuan, representing an 83% year-on-year increase and a 60% quarter-on-quarter increase. The net profit for Q2 was 562 million yuan, up 50% year-on-year and 66% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company sold 127 million optical communication components in H1 2025, a 15.8% increase year-on-year, with an average selling price (ASP) of 19 yuan per unit, up 36% year-on-year [2] Profit Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1.9 billion yuan, 3.3 billion yuan, and 4.3 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 45%, 72%, and 28%, respectively. The corresponding P/E ratios are projected to be 72, 42, and 33 times [3]