QJIANG(SZ:000913) HTSC·2025-08-29 12:54Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 26.28 [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 3.07 billion for the first half of the year, a year-on-year decrease of 5.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 270 million, down 22.9% year-on-year. However, the second quarter showed a recovery with a revenue of RMB 1.74 billion, which is a 30.3% increase quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The company faced supply chain issues affecting coolant matching, which temporarily impacted shipments. With these issues resolved, sales are expected to improve in the second half of the year [2][3]. - The company has initiated a mid-term dividend for the first time, with a payout ratio of 97.8% for the first half of the year, distributing RMB 263 million to shareholders [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, domestic sales revenue decreased by 2.9% to RMB 1.65 billion, while overseas sales revenue fell by 8.8% to RMB 1.42 billion. Total sales volume dropped by 11% to 223,000 units, with a 24% decline in export volume [2]. - The gross margin for Q2 was 28.0%, showing a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 2.6 percentage points, attributed to an increase in the sales proportion of larger displacement motorcycles [3]. Dividend Policy - The company has emphasized shareholder returns, planning to increase the dividend payout ratio to 45% and 61% for the years 2023 and 2024, respectively. The mid-term dividend marks a significant step in enhancing shareholder value [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company remains unchanged for 2025-2027, with expected net profits of RMB 770 million, RMB 900 million, and RMB 1.05 billion, respectively. The target price is based on a comparable valuation method, applying a PE ratio of 18.0x for 2025 [5][11].