KORRUN(SZ:300577) Guoxin Securities·2025-09-01 02:56Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][33] Core Views - The company has experienced a 33% revenue growth in the first half of the year, with a steady improvement in profitability. The main business includes bag and clothing OEM and brand operations, benefiting from stable growth and the consolidation of Jia Le [1][3] - The company is expected to continue expanding its production capacity in Indonesia, which will contribute to rapid growth in OEM business scale. There is significant potential for profit margin improvement as Jia Le's current profitability is below that of its peers [3][25] - The brand business is projected to maintain steady growth, although its revenue contribution is gradually decreasing [25] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, revenue increased by 32.5% to 2.43 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 24.8% to 190 million yuan, primarily due to a one-time investment gain from the acquisition of Jia Le last year [1][2] - The gross margin improved by 0.7 percentage points to 24.7%, driven by optimization in product and customer structure [1][2] - The second quarter saw a revenue growth of 29.5% to 1.19 billion yuan, with operating profit increasing by 25% to 100 million yuan after excluding the one-time gain from last year [1][2] Business Segments - The OEM business for bags grew by 13% to 1.42 billion yuan, while clothing OEM revenue surged by 148% to 680 million yuan due to Jia Le's contribution [2][25] - Brand business revenue increased by 8.9% to 310 million yuan, primarily driven by the Xiaomi brand, although its gross margin decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 24.1% [2][25] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 360 million, 390 million, and 420 million yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 24.9%, 10.2%, and 7.8% respectively, after excluding the one-time gain in 2024 [3][29] - The target price is set between 22.8 and 23.8 yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 15-16x for 2025 [3][29]