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三峡能源(600905):利用小时数、电价下降影响利润,新能源项目建设稳步推进

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][25] Core Views - The company's revenue slightly decreased in the first half of 2025, with a significant decline in net profit due to factors such as reduced average utilization hours and a decrease in average electricity prices [1][8] - The company is actively advancing its renewable energy projects, focusing on land-based wind and solar power, and has seen a continuous increase in installed capacity [2][24] - Profit forecasts for the company remain stable, with expected net profits of 6.74 billion, 7.23 billion, and 7.74 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating growth rates of 10.2%, 7.4%, and 7.1% [3][25] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 14.736 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.19%, and a net profit of 3.815 billion yuan, down 5.48%. The non-recurring net profit fell by 20.74% to 3.200 billion yuan [1][8] - The average utilization hours for wind and solar power decreased, impacting overall performance, with wind power utilization down by 97 hours and solar power by 96 hours year-on-year [13][17] Project Development - The company added 2.1807 million kilowatts of new installed capacity in the first half of 2025, with 538,100 kilowatts from wind power and 1,642,600 kilowatts from solar power [2][24] - As of June 2025, the total operational installed capacity reached 49.9366 million kilowatts, with plans for an additional 26.9649 million kilowatts in new projects [24] Profit Forecasts and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts, expecting net profits of 6.736 billion yuan in 2025, 7.232 billion yuan in 2026, and 7.744 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.24, 0.25, and 0.27 yuan [3][25] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 18.1, 16.8, and 15.7 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][25]