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中国核电(601985):新能源持股比例下降及业绩承压,拟首次进行中期分红

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][5][22]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 40.973 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.43%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 3.66% to 5.666 billion yuan [1][6]. - The company plans to distribute a semi-annual cash dividend of 0.02 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of 7.27% [2][20]. - The company is experiencing pressure on its performance due to a decrease in its stake in China Nuclear Huineng and a decline in its profits [1][3][22]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the cumulative power generation was 121.776 billion kWh, an increase of 15.65% year-on-year, while the cumulative grid-connected power was 115.104 billion kWh, up 15.92% year-on-year [1][6]. - The company's operating revenue for the second quarter of 2025 was 20.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.11% [1][6]. - The net profit for the second quarter was 2.529 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.40% year-on-year and 19.37% quarter-on-quarter [1][6]. Operational Capacity - As of June 30, the company had 26 operational nuclear power units with a total installed capacity of 25 million kW, and 19 units under construction or awaiting approval with a capacity of 21.859 million kW [2][19]. - The company has increased its operational renewable energy capacity by 3.6287 million kW in the first half of 2025, including 762,900 kW from wind power and 2,865,800 kW from solar power [2][19]. Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 9.59 billion, 10 billion, and 11.15 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9%, 4%, and 11% [3][22]. - The current price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is projected to be 19 for 2025, 19 for 2026, and 17 for 2027 [5][22].