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山东药玻(600529):需求阶段承压,出口保持增长
SPGSPG(SH:600529) EBSCN·2025-09-01 06:10

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.37 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 370 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 8.2% and 21.9% respectively [1] - Despite domestic demand pressure, the company has adjusted its operational strategy to diversify its business and enhance market penetration, resulting in continued growth in exports [3] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 31.6%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the final net profit margin was 15.6%, down 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.13 billion yuan, with a net profit of 150 million yuan, marking a year-on-year decline of 14.2% and 42.0% respectively [1][2] - The operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was 300 million yuan, down 49.2% year-on-year [1] Cost and Profitability - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 33.2%, down 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio increased to 13.2%, up 4.9 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company faced increased asset impairment losses due to rising inventory depreciation, amounting to 50 million yuan in Q2 [2] Market and Growth Prospects - The company is progressing with its pre-filled syringe expansion project, with most imported equipment already in place for testing and acceptance [3] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders has been revised downwards for 2025-2027 to 802 million, 957 million, and 1.042 billion yuan, reflecting reductions of 22%, 16%, and 17% respectively [3] Valuation Metrics - The projected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 6.25%, 7.42%, and 8.17% respectively, with a corresponding decline in net profit growth for 2025 estimated at -15% [4] - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic pharmaceutical glass industry, benefiting from the increasing demand for borosilicate molded bottles and strong overseas market growth [3]