Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][8]. Core Views - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for sexual health and ophthalmic medications, predicting earnings per share (EPS) of 0.27, 0.53, and 0.92 yuan for 2025-2027, down from previous estimates of 0.33, 0.61, and 1.01 yuan [5]. - The target price is set at 37.10 yuan based on a 70x price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2026 [5]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million yuan) is projected to be 782 in 2025, with a growth rate of 8.4%, followed by 999 in 2026 (27.8% growth) and 1,350 in 2027 (35.1% growth) [7]. - Operating profit is expected to be 121 million yuan in 2025, with a growth of 11.0%, increasing to 239 million yuan in 2026 (98.4% growth) and 428 million yuan in 2027 (78.9% growth) [7]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted at 116 million yuan in 2025 (6.8% growth), 224 million yuan in 2026 (94.0% growth), and 391 million yuan in 2027 (74.5% growth) [7]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 57.5% in 2025 to 71.0% in 2027 [7]. - The net profit margin is projected to rise from 14.8% in 2025 to 29.0% in 2027 [7]. - Return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to increase from 6.3% in 2025 to 17.9% in 2027 [7]. Business Segment Insights - The sexual health segment is facing increased competition, leading to a significant revenue decline of 48.75% year-on-year [11]. - The gastrointestinal medication segment is expected to grow positively, with a year-on-year increase of 11.04% in the first half of 2025, aided by the domestic production of Hewei Zhengchang Wan [11]. - The clinical progress of CKBA is promising, with ongoing trials for multiple indications, including vitiligo and rosacea, which could open new growth avenues for the company [11].
泰恩康（301263）：2025年中报点评：业绩承压，CKBA逐步拓宽边际