SAIC MOTOR(SH:600104) HTSC·2025-09-01 07:56Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][5]. Core Views - The company has shown continuous improvement in its reforms, with a projected sales volume exceeding 4.5 million units and revenue surpassing 674 billion yuan in 2025 [4]. - The collaboration with Huawei on the "Shangjie" brand is expected to inject new growth momentum into the company [4]. - The company reported a total revenue of 299.59 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.23%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.21% [1]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 158.73 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.08% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.68% [1]. - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 2.99 billion yuan, down 23.50% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s non-recurring net profit for H1 2025 was 5.43 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 432.21% [1]. Sales and Market Outlook - The company experienced a wholesale sales volume of 1.108 million vehicles in Q2 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 12% [2]. - The sales volume for July 2025 reached 337,500 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 34% and achieving seven consecutive months of year-on-year growth [2]. - The launch of new models from brands such as Roewe, Zhiji, and MG, along with the first model "Shangjie H5" in collaboration with Huawei, is expected to significantly enhance product structure and profitability [2]. Cost Control and Profitability - The company has effectively controlled costs, with a reduction in expense ratios in sales, management, and R&D in Q2 2025 compared to Q1 [3]. - The investment income for Q2 2025 was 1.825 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease from Q1 due to impairment impacts [3]. - The company’s net profit attributable to the parent company for H1 2025 was -1.39 billion yuan, an improvement from -2.63 billion yuan in H1 2024 [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts revenues of 717 billion yuan, 778 billion yuan, and 826 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 12.3 billion yuan, 15.1 billion yuan, and 16.8 billion yuan for the same years [5]. - The target price for the company is set at 24.31 yuan, reflecting a 20% premium to the average PE ratio of comparable companies [5].