Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of $199 million in Q2 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.5%, while operating profit decreased by 56.5% to $3.7 million due to increased labor costs [1][2] - The company aims to enhance customer experience and employee satisfaction, which may temporarily affect operating profit margins but is expected to strengthen the brand and improve operational quality in the long term [1][3] - The company is expanding its store network while focusing on quality, with a total of 126 stores operational as of Q2 2025, including new openings in Malaysia [3] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, lowering the adjusted net profit estimates by 43%, 21%, and 17% to $30 million, $52 million, and $68 million respectively [4][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue was $199 million, with a year-over-year growth of 8.5%, and a net profit of $16 million, marking a turnaround from losses due to reduced foreign exchange losses [1][2] - For the first half of 2025, revenue reached $397 million, up 7% year-over-year, with a net profit of $28 million [1] Operational Insights - Same-store sales increased by 5.3% in Q2 2025, with notable performance in East Asia, particularly Japan [2] - The company has introduced a more value-oriented menu, resulting in a gross margin of 66.0%, slightly down by 0.3 percentage points year-over-year [2] Expansion Strategy - The company is actively pursuing its "Pomegranate Plan" to diversify its offerings and enhance customer experience, with over 10 new project tracks identified for future growth [3] - The company plans to continue exploring new markets and types of cuisine, including barbecue and fast food, to establish a second growth curve [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The adjusted net profit estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised downwards due to increased operational costs, with a target price set at HKD 17.46, based on a 28x PE ratio for 2026 [4][10] - The company is expected to maintain a gross margin of around 67% in the coming years, despite slight adjustments due to rising labor costs [10][14]
特海国际（09658）：盈利受运营调整扰动，期待环比改善