Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a pig output of 8 million heads, with the complete cost reduced to 12.7 yuan per kilogram [4][5] - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 13.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 235 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 250.9% [4][5] - The company’s pig farming segment achieved a net profit of over 600 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with a significant increase in output and a decrease in costs [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company’s pig output was 3.83 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 34.6%, and the total stock of pigs was over 4.8 million heads [5] - The company’s seed business generated a revenue of 477 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.2%, with a gross profit of 168 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 82% [7] - The company’s financial indicators for 2025E include an expected revenue of 28.48 billion yuan, a net profit of 674 million yuan, and a gross margin of 15.9% [9][10] Future Projections - The company forecasts pig output to reach 8 million heads in 2025, 8.4 million heads in 2026, and 8.82 million heads in 2027, with corresponding revenues of 28.48 billion yuan, 29.68 billion yuan, and 29.88 billion yuan [6][9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 674 million yuan in 2025, 1.104 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.21 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting significant growth rates [9][10]
大北农(002385):生猪出栏800万头可期,完全成本已降至12.7元