SCS(SH:601555) Soochow Securities·2025-09-01 09:03Group 1 - The report focuses on adjusting index positions based on technical indicators to achieve excess returns, utilizing a variety of indicators to generate buy and sell signals [3][8] - A total of 27 technical indicators were constructed and tested under specified backtesting conditions across three broad indices: CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, as well as 31 industry indices [3][8] - The average excess annualized return from the technical indicators based on the concept of volume-price divergence reached 3.75% across 34 indices [3][8] Group 2 - In August, the 5-signal and 7-signal strategies consistently issued bullish signals across the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indices [2][9] - The latest broad index positions indicate that for CSI 300, 18 indicators issued bullish signals while 5 issued reduction signals; for CSI 500, 18 bullish and 5 reduction signals; and for CSI 1000, 15 bullish and 8 reduction signals [2][14] - The optimal single indicator for CSI 300 maintained its signal, while both rolling strategies (rolling chase and rolling stability) issued maintenance signals [2][14] Group 3 - The 5-signal strategy performed well on broad indices, achieving an annualized return of 2.54% on the CSI 1000 index, with an excess annualized return of 11.27% [3][9] - The backtesting results showed that the rolling stability strategy, with a reduced adjustment frequency to T+10, could achieve an average excess annualized return of 3.99%, suitable for low-risk investors [3][8] - The rolling chase strategy demonstrated stronger chasing ability, effectively reducing the risk of missing out, although it exhibited slightly higher volatility, making it suitable for higher-risk investors [3][8] Group 4 - The report provides detailed performance statistics for various sectors, indicating that the banking sector had a positive return of 1.44%, while sectors like electronics and communication faced declines of -11.96% and -5.45% respectively [10][11] - The rolling strategies showed varying performance across sectors, with the rolling chase strategy yielding a return of -3.57% for CSI 300 and -11.68% for CSI 500 [12][13] - The report highlights the number of bullish and reduction indicators across various sectors, with the communication sector having the highest number of bullish indicators at 21, while the coal sector had the highest number of reduction indicators at 20 [15][17]