SHCI(SH:601225) Guoxin Securities·2025-09-01 09:43Investment Rating - The investment rating for Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (601225.SH) is "Outperform the Market" [5][21]. Core Views - The report indicates that the decline in coal prices has negatively impacted the company's performance, but the integration of coal and electricity operations is progressing steadily [1][16]. - The company is actively working on resource succession and expects capacity growth despite the challenges posed by falling coal prices [2][8]. - The company plans to distribute a mid-term cash dividend of 0.039 CNY per share, with a dividend payout ratio of 5% [3][16]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 77.98 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 14.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.64 billion CNY, down 31.2% year-on-year [1][7]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 37.82 billion CNY, down 20.5% year-on-year and 5.8% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 2.83 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 54.6% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 41.0% [1][7]. Coal Business - The company's coal production and sales remained relatively stable, with H1 2025 coal production/sales of 87.4 million/125.99 million tons, both up 1% year-on-year [2][8]. - The average selling price of self-produced coal in H1 2025 was 420 CNY per ton, down 118 CNY per ton year-on-year [2][8]. - The company is pushing for capacity increases in coal mining, with a 2 million ton increase in the Yuan Datang coal mine's capacity to 10 million tons [2][8]. Power Business - In H1 2025, the total power generation/sales were 17.8 billion/16.6 billion kWh, down 12%/11% year-on-year [3][14]. - The average selling price of electricity was 408 CNY per MWh, an increase of 0.79 CNY per MWh year-on-year, while the total generation cost remained stable at 343 CNY per MWh [3][14]. Profit Forecast and Financial Indicators - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 15.8 billion/16.2 billion/16.7 billion CNY, down from previous estimates of 18.7 billion/19.0 billion/19.4 billion CNY [3][16]. - Key financial metrics for 2025 include a projected revenue of 150.5 billion CNY, a net profit of 15.8 billion CNY, and an earnings per share of 1.63 CNY [4][19].