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云图控股(002539):新型复合肥收入占比提升,一体化产业链布局持续完善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The revenue share of new compound fertilizers is increasing, and the integrated industrial chain layout is continuously improving [1] - The company achieved a total revenue of 11.4 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.59%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 511 million yuan, up 12.60% year-on-year [6] - The revenue from phosphate compound fertilizers reached 7.22 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 21.55%, with the revenue share rising from 54.0% in the same period last year to 63.4% this year [6] - The company is focusing on strengthening the nitrogen and phosphorus industrial chain, with key projects progressing well, which is expected to enhance the self-sufficiency rate of raw materials for phosphate compound fertilizers [6] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2024A is 20.381 billion yuan, with a projected growth rate of -6.4% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 804 million yuan for 2024A, with a year-on-year decrease of 9.8% [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.67 yuan for 2024A, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17 times [7] - The target price for the company is set at 14.56 yuan, with the current price at 11.52 yuan [2]