Juewei Food (SH:603517) Huachuang Securities·2025-09-01 11:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [5][25]. Core Views - The company is experiencing ongoing operational pressure, with a focus on adjusting strategies to address demand changes and improve store performance. The report emphasizes the need for a turnaround in same-store sales and the overall number of stores [8][9]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 19.6 yuan, reflecting a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 34.4 times the expected profit for 2025 [8][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 15.57%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 175 million yuan, down 40.71% year-on-year [2][9]. - In Q2 2025, revenue was 1.32 billion yuan, a decrease of 19.80% year-on-year, with a net profit of 55 million yuan, down 57.64% year-on-year [2][9]. - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 28.9%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points compared to the previous year, primarily due to increased manufacturing costs [8][9]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 6.257 billion yuan, 5.392 billion yuan, 5.592 billion yuan, and 5.921 billion yuan respectively, with expected growth rates of -13.8%, -13.8%, 3.7%, and 5.9% [4][15]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 227 million yuan in 2024A, increasing to 551 million yuan by 2027E, with growth rates of -34.0%, 52.9%, 32.0%, and 20.2% respectively [4][15]. Strategic Adjustments - The company is actively exploring segmented operations to meet diverse consumer needs, optimizing its product matrix, and enhancing channel collaboration to improve operational resilience [8][9]. - There is an ongoing effort to adjust the pace of store closures while focusing on improving same-store performance and addressing operational challenges [8][9].