Kunlun(SZ:300418) Guoxin Securities·2025-09-01 11:09Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [5][15][23] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 3.733 billion yuan in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.23%. However, it reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of 856 million yuan, a decline of 119.86% year-on-year [1][8] - The second quarter revenue reached 1.969 billion yuan, up 52.17% year-on-year, with a net loss of 87 million yuan, down 57.1% year-on-year, indicating a significant reduction in loss compared to the first quarter [1][8] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the commercialization of AI and contributions from music and short drama segments, while the net loss is attributed to R&D investments in AI and losses from investment income [1][8] Revenue Growth and AI Commercialization - The company has seen a strong performance in AI commercialization, launching several industry-leading models and applications, including the Skywork Super Agents, which can generate various types of content [2][10] - The short drama platform DramaWave has shown robust growth, achieving an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of over 240 million USD, with a monthly revenue exceeding 20 million USD, showcasing significant commercial potential [2][10] Overseas Business Performance - The company's overseas revenue reached 3.441 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 56.02%, accounting for 93.0% of total revenue. The Opera segment generated 286 million USD in revenue, up 35% year-on-year [3][14] - By the second quarter of 2025, Opera's global monthly active users reached 289 million, with an annualized ARPU of 1.97 USD, reflecting a 35% year-on-year increase [3][14] Financial Forecasts - The report maintains profit forecasts, projecting net profits of -439 million yuan, 370 million yuan, and 398 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding diluted EPS of -0.36, 0.03, and 0.32 yuan [3][15][16] - The company is positioned to become a platform company in the AIGC era, with ongoing commercialization efforts expected to gradually improve operational performance [3][15]