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固生堂(02273):业绩稳健增长,AI赋能开启新篇章

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, anticipating significant growth in the next 6-12 months [4][12]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.495 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, and an adjusted net profit of 170 million RMB, up 15.2% year-on-year [2]. - The company is expanding its operations steadily, with offline medical institution revenue growing by 11.1% to 1.367 billion RMB, and total patient visits increasing by 15.3% to 2.747 million in the same period [2]. - The company has established a strong doctor resource barrier, with a total of 41,743 doctors, including 648 new offline practicing doctors, marking a 23.5% year-on-year increase [3]. - The company's in-house formulations business is experiencing rapid growth, with a revenue increase of 209% year-on-year, enhancing the revenue structure and reducing policy risk [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.495 billion RMB, a 9.5% increase year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 152 million RMB, reflecting a 41.9% year-on-year growth [2]. Operational Analysis - The company is expanding its network, operating 84 medical institutions globally, with 83 in mainland China and 1 in Singapore, and has added 5 new self-built medical institutions in the first half of 2025 [2]. - Customer retention remains high, with a repeat visit rate of 69.3% [2]. - The company has formed partnerships with 37 medical alliance units, enhancing the supply of quality medical resources [2]. AI Application and Growth - The company has made significant progress in AI applications, launching its first "National Medicine AI Avatar" in June 2025, with a total of 10 avatars covering 8 core specialties by August [3]. - The introduction of the "AI Health Assistant" aims to improve patient experience and address the bottleneck in quality medical resource supply [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 410 million RMB, 524 million RMB, and 669 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 34%, 28%, and 28% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.74 RMB, 2.22 RMB, and 2.84 RMB for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 19, 15, and 12 [4].