CTGR(SH:600905) Yin He Zheng Quan·2025-09-01 12:39Investment Rating - The report assigns a neutral investment rating to the company, indicating a performance expectation within a range of -5% to 10% relative to the benchmark index [11]. Core Insights - The company's projected revenue for 2024 is 29,717.04 million, with a slight increase to 30,000.49 million in 2025, and further growth expected to reach 36,180.64 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.53% from 2025 to 2027 [7]. - The net profit for 2024 is estimated at 7,457.54 million, with a slight decline to 7,425.99 million in 2025, followed by a recovery to 8,850.79 million by 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability over the forecast period [7]. - The company's EBITDA is projected to grow from 24,878.00 million in 2024 to 31,640.16 million in 2027, showcasing a robust operational performance [7]. Financial Summary - Balance Sheet: Total assets are expected to increase from 356,871.43 million in 2024 to 415,372.46 million by 2027, with a corresponding rise in total liabilities from 253,224.90 million to 293,674.64 million [6]. - Cash Flow Statement: Operating cash flow is projected to rise from 18,897.33 million in 2024 to 29,222.70 million in 2027, indicating improved cash generation capabilities [6]. - Profitability Ratios: The gross margin is expected to decline slightly from 52.63% in 2024 to 45.88% in 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to stabilize around 20% [7]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.21 in 2024 to 0.26 in 2027, reflecting a positive outlook for shareholder returns [7]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 20.47 in 2024 to 16.17 by 2027, suggesting potential undervaluation as earnings grow [7]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 7.05% in 2024 to 7.44% in 2027, indicating enhanced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity [7].