SCC(SZ:002916) Zhao Yin Guo Ji·2025-09-02 05:34Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported strong Q2 2025 results with record-high sales and improved profit margins, particularly in its core PCB business. Revenue reached 5.7 billion RMB, marking a 30% year-over-year and 19% quarter-over-quarter increase, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates by 6%. Net profit was 869 million RMB, up 43% year-over-year and 77% quarter-over-quarter, surpassing Bloomberg estimates by 41%. The gross margin improved by 2.8 percentage points to 27.6%, while the net margin reached a historical high of 15.5% [1] - The company's strategic positioning in high-growth sectors such as AI servers, data centers, and automotive electronics supports the "Buy" rating. Continuous capacity expansion from projects in Thailand and Nantong, along with stable R&D investment at 6%-7% of sales, will reinforce the company's competitive advantage and long-term growth [1] - The target price has been raised to 235 RMB, reflecting an 18.7% potential upside from the current price of 198 RMB [3] Financial Summary - For FY25E, the company is projected to achieve sales revenue of 22.68 billion RMB, a 26.6% year-over-year increase. The gross margin is expected to be 26.9%, and net profit is forecasted at 3.03 billion RMB, representing a 61.4% increase year-over-year [2][15] - The company’s EPS is expected to rise to 5.91 RMB in FY25E, with a P/E ratio of 33.5 times [2][15] - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 101.55 billion RMB, with a 52-week stock price range of 198.00/67.53 RMB [3][14] Business Segment Performance - The PCB business, accounting for 60% of total sales, achieved revenue of 6.3 billion RMB in the first half of the year, a 29% year-over-year increase. The growth was driven by strong demand in wireless communication infrastructure, data centers, and automotive applications [8] - The packaging substrate segment saw sales of 1.7 billion RMB, a 9% year-over-year increase, but faced margin pressure due to rising raw material costs and capacity ramp-up challenges [8] Market Comparison - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to be higher than the historical average, reflecting the industry's upward cycle momentum. The new target price is based on a 33.7 times P/E for FY26E, which is approximately one standard deviation above the five-year historical average [8]