NANSHAN ALUMINIUM(SH:600219) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-09-02 05:47Investment Rating - The investment rating for Nanshan Aluminum is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing significant expansion in Indonesia, showcasing strong growth potential. In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 17.274 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.25%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.625 billion yuan, up 19.95% year-on-year. However, Q2 2025 saw a decline in revenue and net profit due to a substantial drop in alumina prices [4][5] - The company plans to continue its mid-term profit distribution scheme, proposing a cash dividend of 0.40 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 465 million yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of 17.7% [6] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.044 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 4.4%. The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.43 yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.2 times based on the closing price on September 1, 2025 [4][8] - The company has significant production capacity yet to be released, including 2 million tons of alumina and 250,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum, indicating substantial growth potential [4][5] Expansion in Indonesia - The company’s expansion in Indonesia is progressing rapidly, with the first phase of a 1 million ton alumina project already in production and the second phase under construction. The net profit from the Bintan alumina project reached 1.876 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 46.45% increase year-on-year, driven by rising alumina prices [5] Dividend and Share Buyback - The company has initiated a share buyback program, having repurchased approximately 65.08 million shares, representing about 0.56% of the total share capital, reflecting confidence in its development [6]