AKESO(HK:09926) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-02 05:47Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][16][28] Core Insights - The company reported a 37.8% year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of 2025, reaching RMB 1.41 billion, with net losses of RMB 570 million, aligning with expectations [5][12] - Key product sales, particularly cadonilimab and ivonescimab, have ramped up significantly following their inclusion in the National Reimbursement Drug List (NRDL) [5][12] - The company has a strong cash reserve of approximately RMB 7.14 billion as of June 2025 [5][12] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025E are set at RMB 3.15 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 48.38% [10] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025E is a loss of RMB 870 million, with subsequent years showing a recovery to RMB 1.57 billion by 2027E [10] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates have been adjusted downwards for 2025E to -RMB 0.97, with a gradual recovery expected in the following years [10][16] Clinical Development and Pipeline Expansion - The AK112 clinical trial has achieved significant overall survival (OS) benefits, with multiple indications under development, including NSCLC [6][13] - Cadonilimab (AK104) is undergoing extensive clinical trials for various indications, with three already approved by the NMPA [7][14] - The company is expanding its non-oncology pipeline, with new products and ongoing clinical trials for several indications [8][15] Target Price Adjustment - The target price has been raised from HK$ 87 to HK$ 189, indicating a potential upside of 21% [16]