huahaipharm(SH:600521) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-09-02 07:12Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huahai Pharmaceutical is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company experienced fluctuations in performance during the first half of 2025, with revenue of 4.516 billion yuan (down 11.93% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 409 million yuan (down 45.3% year-on-year) [4][5] - Despite the decline in profits, the company is making significant progress in its innovative drug development, leading to a downward adjustment of the profit forecast for 2025-2026, with new estimates for 2027 introduced [4][5] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 34.2 for 2025, 31.8 for 2026, and 30.3 for 2027, reflecting the positive outlook on the company's innovative drug pipeline [4][5] Financial Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.516 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 63.32% (up 1.31 percentage points) and a net margin of 8.97% (down 5.74 percentage points) [4][5] - Research and development expenses amounted to 649 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.07% and accounting for 14.36% of revenue [5] - The company has several projects in advanced stages of clinical trials, including HB0034, which is expected to be approved for market by the second quarter of 2026 [5] Performance Forecast - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 1.164 billion yuan, 1.250 billion yuan, and 1.314 billion yuan respectively, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.0%, 7.4%, and 5.1% [7][9] - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 10.786 billion yuan in 2025 to 13.787 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13% [7][9] - The gross margin is expected to improve gradually from 62.2% in 2025 to 62.7% in 2027 [7][9]