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中国巨石(600176):2025年半年报点评:增量复价双轮驱动,特种电子布研发提速

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 9.11 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.69 billion yuan, up 75.5% year-on-year [5] - The company has seen a continuous increase in sales volume of glass fiber products, with a total of 1.5822 million tons sold in H1 2025, a 3.9% increase year-on-year. The sales revenue from domestic and international markets accounted for approximately 63.62% and 34.75%, respectively [5] - The company is expanding its production capacity and upgrading its product structure, with significant investments planned for new production lines [5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2023A: 14,876 million yuan - 2024A: 15,856 million yuan - 2025E: 18,614 million yuan - 2026E: 20,693 million yuan - 2027E: 22,875 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates: -26% (2023A), 7% (2024A), 17% (2025E), 11% (2026E), 11% (2027E) [3] - Net Profit Forecast: - 2023A: 3,044 million yuan - 2024A: 2,445 million yuan - 2025E: 3,512 million yuan - 2026E: 4,054 million yuan - 2027E: 4,708 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates: -54% (2023A), -20% (2024A), 44% (2025E), 15% (2026E), 16% (2027E) [3] - Earnings Per Share (EPS) Forecast: - 2023A: 0.76 yuan - 2024A: 0.61 yuan - 2025E: 0.88 yuan - 2026E: 1.01 yuan - 2027E: 1.18 yuan [3] Market Position and Strategy - The company has established overseas production bases in Egypt and the United States, which can meet approximately 50% of its overseas market demand, helping to mitigate trade environment changes [5] - The company is actively developing low-dielectric and low-expansion products, with ongoing research and development for ultra-thin electronic fabrics [5] - The company plans to invest 880 million yuan in a new production line to enhance its capacity and product offerings [5]