TECON(SZ:002100) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-09-02 11:16Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady operations in pig farming, with a recovery in profitability for its protein and oil businesses. The revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 8.847 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.68%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 338 million yuan, up 22.27% year-on-year. However, the net profit for Q2 2025 was 190 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 14.59% [3][4] - Due to the impact of pig price fluctuations, the profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised downwards. The expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 677 million yuan, 913 million yuan, and 1.576 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.50 yuan, 0.67 yuan, and 1.15 yuan [3][4] Summary by Sections Pig Farming Business - The revenue from the pig farming business in H1 2025 was 2.849 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.95% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 11.78%, an increase of 1.55 percentage points year-on-year. The number of pigs sold was 1.5282 million heads, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.05%. The company aims to reduce the total cost to below 13 yuan per kilogram for the entire year [4] Feed Business - The feed business reported revenue of 2.434 billion yuan in H1 2025, down 14.24% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 246 million yuan, a decrease of 35.17% year-on-year. The sales volume was 1.3415 million tons, a slight decline of 0.58% year-on-year. Despite the drop in sales volume, the overall gross margin improved year-on-year [5] Corn Storage and Protein Oil Processing - The corn storage business generated revenue of 1.305 billion yuan in H1 2025, a significant increase of 72.32% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 3.51%, up 7.76 percentage points year-on-year. The protein oil processing business saw revenue of 1.449 billion yuan, a remarkable increase of 97.60% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 6.99%, up 5.35 percentage points year-on-year. These segments have contributed to the overall profit recovery [5]