GUANGHUI ENERGY(SH:600256) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-09-03 05:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to declining coal prices, with a focus on the growth of coal mining and coal chemical sectors [3][4] - The company reported a revenue of 15.75 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 850 million yuan, down 40.7% year-on-year [3] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards to 1.93 billion, 3.21 billion, and 3.54 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year change of -34.8%, +65.9%, and +10.5% [3][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 15.75 billion yuan, down 8.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 850 million yuan, down 40.7% year-on-year [3] - For Q2 2025, the revenue was 6.85 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 23.1%, and the net profit was 160 million yuan, down 77% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The average price of coal in H1 2025 was 498.1 yuan/ton, down 17.5% year-on-year [4] Production and Sales - In H1 2025, the company produced and sold 26.87 million tons and 24.74 million tons of raw coal, respectively, representing increases of 175.1% and 84.9% year-on-year [4] - The production and sales of natural gas in H1 2025 were 34.46 million and 152.23 million cubic meters, down 6.0% and 30.1% year-on-year [4] Project Development - The company is progressing with several projects, including a 1.5 million tons/year coal quality utilization demonstration project, which has received necessary approvals and is 80% through its basic design work [5] - The company plans to distribute at least 90% of its average distributable profits in cash over the years 2025-2027 [5] Financial Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 0.30, 0.50, and 0.55 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 16.9, 10.2, and 9.2 [3][6] - The company's net profit margin is projected to be 4.6% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 7.8% [6]