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川恒股份(002895):上半年业绩快速增长,持续深化产业链布局

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a rapid growth in performance for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 3.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.28%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 536 million yuan, up 51.54% year-on-year [5] - The company is continuously deepening its industrial chain layout, focusing on the integration of phosphate resources and capacity construction [6] - The company has a strong competitive advantage due to its dual-driven strategy of resource and technology, which helps in building a long-term competitive barrier [7] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 3.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 35.28% and a net profit of 536 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 51.54% [5] - The revenue from the phosphate chemical segment grew rapidly, with key products such as feed-grade dicalcium phosphate and monoammonium phosphate showing revenue increases of 33.22% and 38.91% respectively [5] - The company’s gross profit margin for feed-grade dicalcium phosphate and monoammonium phosphate improved, with margins of 32.60% and 44.57% respectively [5] Industry Positioning - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with international sales revenue reaching 1.066 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.05%, accounting for 31.73% of total revenue [5] - The company is enhancing its integrated industrial chain centered around phosphate rock resources, with a current annual mining capacity of approximately 3.2 million tons [6] - The company is also increasing its production capacity for lithium iron phosphate, responding to the growing demand in the new energy materials market [5][8] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.229 billion yuan, 1.444 billion yuan, and 1.853 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13, 11, and 9 times [9]