Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the basic chemical industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The basic chemical sector has outperformed the market, with the industry index rising by 1.8% from July 11 to July 18, compared to a 0.7% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [9][20] - The report highlights significant price increases in TDI, glyphosate, and glufosinate due to supply disruptions and rising demand, particularly in South America [6][31][33] Summary by Sections 1. Core Viewpoints - The basic chemical sector is expected to benefit from supply-side reforms and improved demand due to recent government policies aimed at stabilizing the economy [17] - The report emphasizes the potential for long-term investment in core assets as the profitability of chemical products has likely bottomed out, suggesting a recovery in valuations [17][18] 2. Overall Performance of the Chemical Sector - The basic chemical industry index has shown a year-to-date increase of 10.8%, outperforming both the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices by 5.4% and 4.5%, respectively [20][26] 3. Individual Stock Performance in the Chemical Sector - Among 424 stocks in the basic chemical sector, 251 stocks rose while 162 fell during the reporting week, with notable gainers including Shangwei New Materials (+148.8%) and Dongcai Technology (+33.2%) [29][30] 4. Key News and Company Announcements - A fire at Covestro's TDI plant in Germany has led to significant supply disruptions, creating opportunities for price increases in TDI [31][32] - Glyphosate prices have increased to 25,500 CNY per ton, reflecting a 7.16% month-over-month rise, driven by reduced inventory levels [33] - New regulations on glufosinate are expected to constrain supply, potentially leading to price increases as the market adjusts [34]

| 证券代码：002895 | 证券简称：川恒股份 | 公告编号：2025-090 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：127043 | 转债简称：川恒转债 | | 提前赎回川恒转债实施暨即将停止转股的重要提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要提示： 贵州川恒化工股份有限公司 1、最后转股日：2025 年 7 月 17 日 13、风险提示：截至 2025 年 7 月 17 日收市后仍未转股的"川恒转债"将按照 101.397 元/张的价格强制赎回，因目前"川恒转债"二级市场价格与赎回价格存在 较大差异，特别提醒"川恒转债"持有人注意在限期内转股，若投资者未及时转股， 可能面临相应损失，敬请投资者注意投资风险。 14、转股价格："川恒转债"当期转股价格为 17.41 元/股。 自 2025 年 5 月 16 日至 2025 年 6 月 23 日，贵州川恒化工股份有限公司（以下 简称公司）股票连续 30 个交易日中已有 15 个交易日的收盘价格不低于当期转股价 格的 130%。根据《深交所上市公司自律监管指引第 15 ...

| 证券代码：002895 | 证券简称：川恒股份 | 公告编号：2025-089 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：127043 | 转债简称：川恒转债 | | 贵州川恒化工股份有限公司 提前赎回川恒转债实施暨即将停止转股的重要提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要提示： 1、最后转股日：2025 年 7 月 17 日 2025 年 7 月 17 日为"川恒转债"的最后一个转股日，2025 年 7 月 17 日收市前， 持有"川恒转债"的投资者仍可进行转股；2025 年 7 月 17 日收市后，仍未转股的 "川恒转债"将按照 101.397 元/张（含当期应计利息、含税）的价格强制赎回。 2、距离 2025 年 7 月 17 日收市，"川恒转债"可转股期限仅剩 1 个交易日。特 别提醒"川恒转债"持有人务必认真阅读本公告，充分了解相关风险，注意最后转 股时间，审慎作出投资决策。 特别提示： 1、转债代码：127043；转债简称：川恒转债 2、赎回价格：101.397 元/张（含当期应计利息、含税，当期年利率为 ...

| 证券代码：002895 | 证券简称：川恒股份 | 公告编号：2025-088 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：127043 | 转债简称：川恒转债 | | 贵州川恒化工股份有限公司 提前赎回川恒转债实施暨即将停止转股的重要提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要提示： 1、最后转股日：2025 年 7 月 17 日 2025 年 7 月 17 日为"川恒转债"的最后一个转股日，2025 年 7 月 17 日收市前， 持有"川恒转债"的投资者仍可进行转股；2025 年 7 月 17 日收市后，仍未转股的 "川恒转债"将按照 101.397 元/张（含当期应计利息、含税）的价格强制赎回。 2、距离 2025 年 7 月 17 日收市，"川恒转债"可转股期限仅剩 2 个交易日。特 别提醒"川恒转债"持有人务必认真阅读本公告，充分了解相关风险，注意最后转 股时间，审慎作出投资决策。 12、根据安排，截至 2025 年 7 月 17 日收市后仍未转股的"川恒转债"将被强 制赎回，本次赎回完成后，"川恒转债"将在深圳 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chanhen (002895 CH), Yuntianhua (600096 CH), and NHU (002001 CH), while Skshu (603737 CH) and Yuhong (002271 CH) are rated "Hold" [3][4][8]. Core Insights - The phosphate sector is experiencing strong performance, with companies like NHU expecting a profit increase of 50-70% in 1H25, driven by resilient agricultural demand and rising prices [3]. - Chanhen and Yuntianhua are highlighted as top picks due to their earnings momentum and robust dividend profiles, with expected earnings growth of over 40% year-on-year for Chanhen in 2Q and around 10% for Yuntianhua [3][8]. - The report notes potential catalysts for growth, including rising fertilizer export prices and elevated phosphate rock prices during the peak planting season [3]. Summary by Sections Phosphate Sector - Phosphate companies are expected to lead the sector, with Chanhen and Yuntianhua showing strong earnings growth and dividend yields exceeding 6% in 2025 [3][8]. - NHU's profit guidance indicates overall sector strength, with a projected increase of 50-70% [3]. Building Materials - Skshu has issued positive profit guidance for 2Q, projecting earnings growth of 69-118% year-on-year, but the report maintains a "Hold" rating due to the growth being largely priced in [4]. - Yuhong is expected to face ongoing weakness in earnings due to challenges in new housing and engineering construction [4]. Commodity Chemicals - Satellite Chemical is facing headwinds with expected earnings declines due to turbulence in ethane/propane imports and operational risks [5]. - Wanhua and LB Group are also under pressure from anti-dumping duties affecting their core products, leading to a negative outlook for their 2Q earnings [5].

Group 1 - Cathay Pacific Haikou expects a net profit increase of 205%-218% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 15.283 billion to 15.957 billion yuan [1] - The main reason for the profit increase is the merger with Haitong Securities, which has led to significant growth in wealth management and trading revenues [1] - Shenyuan Hongyuan anticipates a net profit increase of 92.66%-111.46% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 4.1 billion to 4.5 billion yuan [6][7] Group 2 - Southern Airlines expects a net loss of 1.338 billion to 1.756 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to changes in passenger structure and international uncertainties [2] - China Eastern Airlines projects a net loss of 1.2 billion to 1.6 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, influenced by intense domestic market competition [3] - Air China anticipates a net loss of 1.7 billion to 2.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, affected by market supply imbalances and international uncertainties [4] Group 3 - HNA Group expects to turn a profit in the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit of 45 million to 65 million yuan, attributed to improved market conditions and operational adjustments [5] - CICC forecasts a net profit increase of 55%-78% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 3.453 billion to 3.966 billion yuan [8] - CITIC Securities anticipates a net profit increase of 55%-60% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 4.43 billion to 4.573 billion yuan [9] Group 4 - Shandong Gold expects a net profit of 2.55 billion to 3.05 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing an increase of 84.3%-120.5% [10] - Poly Developments anticipates a net profit decrease of 63.15% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.735 billion yuan [11] - Luoyang Molybdenum expects a net profit increase of 51%-68% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 8.2 billion to 9.1 billion yuan [13] Group 5 - Longi Green Energy expects a net loss of 2.4 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, but with a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year [14] - Tongwei Co. anticipates a net loss of 4.9 billion to 5.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, influenced by ongoing industry challenges [15] - Ganfeng Lithium expects a net loss of 300 million to 550 million yuan for the first half of 2025, an improvement from the previous year's loss [16] Group 6 - Jianghuai Automobile expects a net loss of approximately 680 million yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to increased competition in the international market [21] - Yonghui Supermarket anticipates a net loss of 240 million yuan for the first half of 2025, attributed to ongoing transformation challenges [22] - ST Huatuo expects a net profit increase of 107.2%-159% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.4 billion to 3 billion yuan [23] Group 7 - New Hope anticipates a net profit of 680 million to 780 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [25] - Linyi Intelligent Manufacturing expects a net profit increase of 32%-67% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 900 million to 1.14 billion yuan [27] - Pengding Holdings expects a net profit increase of 52.79%-60.62% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 1.198 billion to 1.26 billion yuan [29] Group 8 - Hengtong Electronics expects a net profit increase of 740.95% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of approximately 251 million yuan [30] - Shengyi Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 50%-56% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 1.4 billion to 1.45 billion yuan [31] - Founder Securities expects a net profit increase of 70%-80% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.299 billion to 2.43 billion yuan [33]

三、业绩变动原因说明 公司 2025 年半年度业绩较上年同期增加的主要原因是： 转债代码：127043 转债简称：川恒转债 贵州川恒化工股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 ?扭亏为盈 ?同向上升 ?同向下降 项 目 本报告期 上年同期 盈利：52,000.00 万元–59,000.00 万元 归属于上市公司股 盈利：35,367.50 万元 比上年同期增长：47.03% -66.82% 盈利：49,000.00 万元–56,000.00 万元 扣除非经常性损益 盈利：35,009.32 万元 后的净利润 比上年同期增长：39.96% -59.96% 基本每股收益 盈利：0.9197 元/股–1.0436 元/股 盈利：0.6545 元/股 二、与会计师事务所沟通情况 本期业绩预告相关的财务数据未经会计师事务所预审计，具体数据以公司披露 的 2025 年半年度报告为准。 报告期内，公司主要产品销售价格均较上年同期有所上升，毛利率较为稳定。 公司控股子公司广西鹏越生态科技有限公司主要产品产量提升，销售量增加，营业 收 ...

| 证券代码：002895 | 证券简称：川恒股份 | 公告编号：2025-086 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：127043 | 转债简称：川恒转债 | | 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 股份种类 持股比例变动 稀释比例（%） A 股 川恒集团持股比例由 46.75%被动稀释至 45.90% 被动稀释 0.85% 合 计 —— —— 本次权益变动 方式 通过证券交易所的集中交易 □ 通过证券交易所的大宗交易 □ 其他 ☑（因公司可转债转股，公司总股本增加致持股 比例被动稀释） 本次增持股份 的资金来源 自有资金 □ 银行贷款 □ 其他金融机构借款 □ 股东投资款 □ 其他 □ 不涉及资金来源 ☑ 3．本次变动前后，投资者及其一致行动人拥有上市公司权益的股份情况 股东名称 股份性质 本次变动前持有股份 本次变动后持有股份 股数（股） 占总股本比例 股数（股） 占总股本比例 川恒集团 合计持有股份 277,634,700 46.75% 277,634,700 45.90% 其中：无限售条件股份 277,634,700 ...

1、业绩预告期间：2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 6 月 30 日 | 证券代码：002895 | 证券简称：川恒股份 | 公告编号：2025-087 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：127043 | 转债简称：川恒转债 | | 贵州川恒化工股份有限公司 2025 年半年度业绩预告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 2、预计的业绩： 预计净利润为正值且属于下列情形之一 | 项 目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股 东的净利润 | 盈利：52,000.00 万元–59,000.00 万元 | 盈利：35,367.50 万元 | | | 比上年同期增长：47.03% -66.82% | | | 扣除非经常性损益 后的净利润 | 盈利：49,000.00 万元–56,000.00 万元 | 盈利：35,009.32 万元 | | | 比上年同期增长：39.96% -59.96% | | | 基本每股收益 | 盈利：0.9197 元/ ...

| 证券代码：002895 | 证券简称：川恒股份 | 公告编号：2025-085 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：127043 | 转债简称：川恒转债 | | 贵州川恒化工股份有限公司 提前赎回川恒转债实施暨即将停止转股的重要提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要提示： 1、最后转股日：2025 年 7 月 17 日 2025 年 7 月 17 日为"川恒转债"的最后一个转股日，2025 年 7 月 17 日收市前， 持有"川恒转债"的投资者仍可进行转股；2025 年 7 月 17 日收市后，仍未转股的 "川恒转债"将按照 101.397 元/张（含当期应计利息、含税）的价格强制赎回。 2、距离 2025 年 7 月 17 日收市，"川恒转债"可转股期限仅剩 3 个交易日。特 别提醒"川恒转债"持有人务必认真阅读本公告，充分了解相关风险，注意最后转 股时间，审慎作出投资决策。 特别提示： 自 2025 年 5 月 16 日至 2025 年 6 月 23 日，贵州川恒化工股份有限公司（以下 简称公司）股票连续 ...